Assange wins first stage in effort to appeal US extradition

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2022.01.24 13:58 SesshamoNekodearuzo Assange wins first stage in effort to appeal US extradition

Assange wins first stage in effort to appeal US extradition submitted by SesshamoNekodearuzo to what_couldve_been_if [link] [comments]


2022.01.24 13:58 Kev300900 For the love of god! please just join the GU Discord Server

There you will find all the information and announcements (When Packs/GOD$ reward…) you need
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2022.01.24 13:58 KeyholderA What would your ideal partner be like?

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2022.01.24 13:58 ManagementProof2272 Are the locker pack worth it? It depends! 🤔 Deep dive on EV and CS

Are the locker pack worth it? It depends! 🤔 Deep dive on EV and CS Hello everyone. Today I am back with an analysis concerning the Locker Pack Release 8. I'll try to explain under which conditions I think that it makes sense to go for it, both from an expected value (EV) as well as a collector score (CS) perspective. I hope that you'll find it useful.
I'll start with some numbers/plots and then conclude with some personal considerations - that I'm happy to read your opinion about in the comments.
Method Usual approach. I scrap the average value at which the various moments have been sold during the last two weeks as well as the minimum price that is being asked and compute the EV starting from that.
Getting the CS numbers is relatively straightforward, series 2 moments are worth 12 CS, series 3 are worth 2.
The cold numbers
  1. Using the current minimum ask, the EV is 9.7$
  2. Using the average price at which the moments have been sold in the last two weeks, the EV is 9.3$
  3. The expected CS score of a pack (basically the EV of a pack from a CS perspective) is 9.6 CS.
  4. The probability of an individual moment belonging to series 2 is 12%
  5. The probability of pulling a series 2 moment from a pack is 32%.
Deep dive on EV Here comes the usual plot in which I plot the value of a pack that I obtained from a million simulations. The x-axis is value of the pack, the y-axis is the probability of having that specific value.
The most likely value of a pack is 9$. 71% of the packs have a value that is < 10$.
https://preview.redd.it/k9x84uu8ynd81.png?width=640&format=png&auto=webp&s=d0e06b684b056cf16ff7b5fda0aae8f05fd3c1d2
Here below is the same plot but with an elongated x-axis and a log-transformed y-axis (so that we can appreciate also values that occur unfrequently). Differently from the base pack values, you can see that the tail of this distribution is not so heavy (there are almost no packs that are worth > 100$). That's the big difference between the base packs and the locker packs. There are almost no 4-star rookies! Off the top of my head, Dosunmo and Kispert might be the only two exceptions.
https://preview.redd.it/av99equ8ynd81.png?width=640&format=png&auto=webp&s=41317640609f4fa3a72eb21483d292afee32f382
If we break down the EV by team, there are very small differences. The best team is Minnesota, mostly thanks to the presence of some ANT and DAR moments. LA and Lebron follow shortly after. Clippers are our worst enemies.
https://preview.redd.it/abbynqweznd81.png?width=1080&format=png&auto=webp&s=f7160275d35e8a1265c9859266d143e08147b487
My two cents All these numbers and colorful plots are all good but let's get to the point. Is it worth it or not to go for these packs? My take is that it really depends from what you're after and which moments you are turning in.
Here are some personal considerations:
  1. If you have S3 moments that are of little utility to you, and you are looking for a cheap way to increase your collector score, then you should definitely go for these packs. The math is very clear. You turn in 8 CS and get back 9.6. That's a 20% return. The more moments you turn in, the more certain that your average will come close to that.
  2. Personally, I would not turn in S3 moments of players that are in the top 50 in any category. With a little bit of patience, you can almost certainly sell them for 3-4$ if you wait for the right flash challenge, or even just people speculating about a potential flash challenge. If you have a decent serial, you might not even need that. Even if you only manage to sell 50% of these moments at 3$, the EV of the pack would still be negative/neutral. 9.5$ (10-5%) vs 9.3-9.7$.
  3. I would definitely go for these packs rather than selling my moments for 2$ on the marketplace out of frustration. Also here the math is very clear. You turn in 7.6$ (8$ - 5%) and expect to get 9.3-9.7$ in return. That's a 22-28% return. I do not enter into details with this post, but if you scroll through the available season 2 moments, there are also many cool ones that are imo undervalued. Quite a few TSDs (albeit almost no rookies) and some potential bottlenecks (ANT, Mitchell Robinson etc.).
Do you agree? Do you disagree? Let me know in the comments. I am interested in different perspectives.
Final Remarks If you like what you are reading, and you want to support this kind of content in the sub, don't be shy about it!
Send me some ❤❤❤ (duplicates) on TS, my username is gummibaerchen 😁 If you have no duplicates, perhaps consider buying some of the 3$ S3 moments that I have on sale (that's basically a 1$ tip).
I don't expect this for every post (I actually expect nothing at all!), but perhaps once in a while? I leave it up to your kindness. Sending nothing is also totally fine.
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2022.01.24 13:58 Azzwod [H]BRAND NEW Anodised Ti Tip Gold/Pink Fade [W]£46 PPGS

[H]BRAND NEW Anodised Ti Tip Gold/Pink Fade [W]£46 PPGS submitted by Azzwod to DynavapExchange [link] [comments]


2022.01.24 13:58 Mopreme187 Overwhelming backlog

Hi, this generation i have been lucky enough to own all 3 consoles, and with gamepass, PS+ and the numerous physical games, i am overwhelmed, i know its not the worst situation to be in, but i look at my games and cant decide what to play.
Im not asking for recommendations, but does anyone else have a big backlog, and how do you choose what to play next.
TIA
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2022.01.24 13:58 True_Wizzz It starts today.

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2022.01.24 13:58 amy_trans_girl19 fact about dream bbq (taski maiden)

did u know that taski maiden is based on aztec culture that appears on yume nikki?? yume nikki and ena are similar if u think of it :3
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2022.01.24 13:58 Naachti bring back the discord chat :(

bring back the discord chat :( submitted by Naachti to Mysticat [link] [comments]


2022.01.24 13:58 gifted_eye A probably Way Too Early and Way Unfair ranking of the current ESC2022 Roster.

Hello! Me again. Is it way to early for this? Yes. Am I gonna do it anyways? Also yes. Only three songs are out, and imma rank them. Let’s go.
3 - Sekret 🇦🇱 - Now I’m not saying this song is bad. I’m saying it needs a revamp. It has all the makings of a banger, but it’s main issue is song structure. I could not follow the flow of the song for the life of me, and it took away a lot from the overall experience. It has a sick Cor Anglais line and some really crunchy harmonies, but these thrive in structure, not stand out amongst a lack of it. I’ve got high hopes for this one.
2 - Intention 🇧🇬 - It’s a good song, with good vocals, a good hook, and is just overall good. My main gripe with this song is more so a gripe with the genre, and that is that there’s no change in dynamics. It feels like it stays at one level through the entire song. I’m not sure whether that’s an error at the songwriting or mixing level, but it’s an error that could be very costly come May. I’m not hopeful for them, really.
1 - Lights Off 🇨🇿 - This is a bop. It’s essentially a song that doesn’t have the issues Sekret and Intention have, and for that it gets my top spot for now. Do I think it has enough power to win? God no. Just because the issues aren’t present doesn’t mean that the song is perfect. I personally feel that it doesn’t quite match the vibe of Eurovision, but that’s a me thing.
Anyways those are my three cents. Tata!
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2022.01.24 13:58 HeyItsStevenField Good riddance, because Sandman was eliminated. Vote your least favorite among the top 5 Spider-Man villains

Good riddance, because Sandman was eliminated. Vote your least favorite among the top 5 Spider-Man villains submitted by HeyItsStevenField to marvelmemes [link] [comments]


2022.01.24 13:58 ArtWeak2777 Rank up player!

Is a good choice?
View Poll
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2022.01.24 13:58 xanzznax What is on your sexual bucket list that nobody knows about?

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2022.01.24 13:58 Divine_Innovate Acuna Bat Down FS/FT, $425 shipped priority or trade (wants in comments).

Acuna Bat Down FS/FT, $425 shipped priority or trade (wants in comments). submitted by Divine_Innovate to baseballcards [link] [comments]


2022.01.24 13:58 recseg93500 [XFCE4] [WinBar] [XFWM4] Windows 10 Clone

[XFCE4] [WinBar] [XFWM4] Windows 10 Clone submitted by recseg93500 to unixporn [link] [comments]


2022.01.24 13:58 Aww_Mustard @bajs forsenInsane

@bajs forsenInsane submitted by Aww_Mustard to forsen [link] [comments]


2022.01.24 13:58 Environmental_Tie_32 Anyone wanna make a noob team with me?

So I'm new to deepwoken. I have played about 7 hours (it seems like alot but most of it is just me playing a slot getting to level 3 and dying) I'm not familiar with any of the islands apart from etris and lower erisia, but I am actually pretty decent at combat, i've trained like an hour at the instructor in isle of vigils and have got the basic part down. I'm mainly looking for 2-3 players who are in england/uk servers and are pretty new.
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2022.01.24 13:58 Afraid-Box Duality of r/ucla

Duality of ucla submitted by Afraid-Box to ucla [link] [comments]


2022.01.24 13:58 Joe11034 Managed to find some of my favourite skylanders from when I was younger. My little brother has the rest

Managed to find some of my favourite skylanders from when I was younger. My little brother has the rest submitted by Joe11034 to skylanders [link] [comments]


2022.01.24 13:58 jens-reddit-account Requesting removal of r/timebombchallenge mods u/Throwa-rae u/backdoornobaby u/Mendelev1

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2022.01.24 13:58 sererson Why don’t Marlins fans wait for HR balls in the outfield bleachers in their stadium like they do at evey other ballpark?

Why don’t Marlins fans wait for HR balls in the outfield bleachers in their stadium like they do at evey other ballpark? submitted by sererson to SportsOneJoke [link] [comments]


2022.01.24 13:58 Essexstardust Wordpress site too slow.

Hi, I am struggling to improve my wordpress sites speed. The core web vitals fail everytime and my LCP is always above 3. I have Ezoic ads and the Astra theme so i'm not sure if they are the cause. They have given me some tips to try but its not working. Any advice would be really appreciated. Thanks
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2022.01.24 13:58 Prosetitan Meteos, Sneaky & Dlift Laugh At HAI Facing a SION Scripter

Meteos, Sneaky & Dlift Laugh At HAI Facing a SION Scripter submitted by Prosetitan to leagueoflegends [link] [comments]


2022.01.24 13:58 Joli_B My girlfriend wanted to add images to the flags for the terms I coined. What do y'all think of this edit?

My girlfriend wanted to add images to the flags for the terms I coined. What do y'all think of this edit? submitted by Joli_B to XenogendersAndMore [link] [comments]


2022.01.24 13:58 mxqblgh https://i.redd.it/ac69b8ql1al61.gif

https://i.redd.it/ac69b8ql1al61.gif submitted by mxqblgh to CryptoCurrency [link] [comments]


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